In the other race, Democratic candidate Jon Scoff has a narrow lead over Republican incumbent David Purdue. If Democrats win both races, they will control an evenly-divided Senate through the casting vote of incoming vice-president Kamila Harris.
The FT 2020 results page displays US presidential, Senate and House races as called by the Associated Press. Party breakdown numbers for the outgoing House of Representatives do not include five vacant seats and one Libertarian.
Historical presidential results data comes from the Federal Election Commission and Daily KOS. Reporting, data analysis, design and development by David Blood, Max Harlow, Joanna S Key, Emma Lewis, Caroline Levitt, Ændrew Rhineland, Martin State, Came Milford and Christine Zhang.
They have also pointed to former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's loss in 2016, which was at odds with what most polls and analysts projected. As a result, Democrats are particularly concerned about regaining the swing states of Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The race in Florida appears to be closer, with the state's polling average showing Biden with a slim lead of just 1.2 percentage points. On Sunday, The Washington Post first reported that billionaire and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg plans to spend about $100 million on ads for Biden in Florida over the coming days until the election.
Much could change before Election Day, but analysts have noted that Biden's polling lead over Trump is remarkably durable and consistent. A snapshot of the polls compiled by Real Clear Politics from early September 2016 shows Trump narrowly leading in several, while the two candidates are tied in others.
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