Of all likely voters, about 60 percent already had cast their ballots, according to polls from the past week, although the estimates vary widely. Six of the 18 final polls (Monmouth, Emerson, Quinnipiac, Reuters/Dipsos, NBC/Marxist and CNN/RSS) show Biden up by 4 points or more.
Another four polls (Suffolk/ USA Today, Susquehanna, InsiderAdvantage and Washington Post /ABC) show Trump ahead, all by 2 points or fewer. Prominent national outlets who model election results also found Biden leading.
Polls of Florida that cycle also showed the Democrat ahead in the final stretch, although by a much slimmer margin. A New York Times analysis shows that if polls underestimate Trump just as much as they did in 2016, he would still lose Florida, although it would be close.
Since Florida ’s presidential primary in March, the Tampa Bay Times has collected polls of the nation’s largest swing state. SIGN UP FOR ELECTION TEXT MESSAGES: Get voting information, news updates and ask political editor Steve Contort questions about the candidates and issues, directly through your phone.
Here’s a look at how many people attended those rallies, crowd size photos, and what happened at each. NBC News reported that Biden ’s rally was attended by close to 300 cars.
When Biden spoke in Tampa on Thursday evening, he said that Trump had just hosted “a superspreader event here again. Getty Joe Biden leaves the stage during a downpour after concluding his remarks.
Biden ’s rally enforced social distancing, shared Angie Angers of Bay News 9. She said masks were mandatory if people left their cars, and they were asked not to gather in groups.
Raymond Arroyo, a contributor to Fox News, shared the following photos comparing the two rallies: A large crowd greeted Trump outside Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.
The temperature was 87 degrees and so hot that a fire truck sprayed water on the crowd near the back to help them stay cool, TMZ reported. Getty Tampa Fire Rescue sprays water to cool off supporters of President Donald Trump during his campaign speech.
Some people passed out because the rally got so hot, shared Monica Alba of NBC News. NBC News later reported that 17 people needed medical attention and about a dozen had to go to the hospital.
Thousands attended Trump ’s rally, Alba shared, and although they were given masks, some told her that they didn’t feel the need to wear them. ZAC Anderson of the Herald Tribune said the campaign told him that 15,000 tickets were requested.
With their upset victories in this week’s Georgia runoffs, Raphael Warlock and Jon Scoff will give Democrats the edge in the U.S. Senate for the first time since 2015. Several members of the Trump administration have resigned in apparent protest following the deadly riot at the U.S. Capitol Wednesday, and the White House is reportedly bracing for more departures.
“For those who don't receive a direct deposit, they should watch their mail for either a paper check or a prepaid debit card,” the IRS said in a notice on Thursday. It comes amid growing concern about the proliferation of fake European IDs, which have been used by jihads, rapists, thieves and benefit fraudsters.
Albanian Fatima Taxa was jailed for 14 months last year for using a fake Greek ID to get a kidney transplant that cost the NHS more than £72,000. Islamic State terrorists behind the Paris and Brussels atrocities used “top quality” counterfeit EU ID cards to travel freely around the continent planning their carnage.
“Smugglers frequently provide migrants with fraudulent travel and identity documents as a part of their 'services',” Frontex said in its annual report. President-elect Joe Biden's pick to lead the Department of Justice, Merrick Garland, accepts nomination and says Wednesday's D.C. Capitol event is an example that the rule of law is the very foundation of our democracy and that like cases are treated alike.
“The fact that we had a bunch of our traitors in office hunker down, put on their gas masks and retreat into their underground bunker, I consider that a win,” Jake Angel said. AP journalists were recently allowed to cover Indian army counterinsurgency drills in Pooch and Mahjouri districts along the Line of Control.
The decision to do so, Politico reports, became “easier” after Trump publicly lambasted Pence for not overturning the results of the 2020 election, despite his lack of authority to do so. Trump has not officially confirmed whether he'll attend the inauguration after refusing to concede the election and falsely claiming he won in a landslide, but Politico reports he has told staff he doesn't expect to do so.
Qataris awoke to a surprise blockade and boycott by Gulf Arab neighbors 3 1/2 years ago, and this week were jolted again by the sudden announcement that it was all over. Criticism of the boycott was a criminal offense in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Egypt as the four sought to punish Qatar.
Qatar’s resolve in the face of the assault showed how little the campaign achieved as the small, but influential U.S. allay holds firm with its ties to Turkey, Iran and Islamists. A senior Vatican official and an Australian bishop told Reuters last week they had no knowledge of the transfers and would be seeking clarification.
A woman who falsely accused a Black teenager of stealing her phone and then tackled him at a New York City hotel was arrested in her home state of California. In what officials see as a result of misinformation about possible side effects or supposed malicious properties, turnout for vaccines has been low among Arabs, who make up 21% of Israel's population, and Jerusalem Palestinians.
President Donald Trump is losing his hold on important swing voters in Florida, imperiling his chance of another four years in office, according to recent polls. The global health catastrophe, ensuing economic collapse and protests nationwide have tested Trump ’s leadership and left his popularity diminished, polls have found.
The fallout has created an opening in the country’s largest swing state for his Democratic rival, former Vice President Joe Biden. While Biden can afford to lose Florida ’s 29 electoral college votes, Trump has virtually no path to win the White House without carrying the Sunshine State.
But with the country upended and his campaign stalled by the coronavirus, the president’s net approval rating in the state has plummeted by double digits. One pollster, Fox News, showed Floridians across nearly every gender, racial and age group were less happy with the job Trump was doing than they were two months earlier.
Trump ’s campaign insists the president is on track to recapture Florida, a state he won four years ago by a 1.2-percent margin over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. “President Donald Trump has the largest ground game in presidential history while Joe Biden hides in his basement,” said campaign spokesman Rick Gorky.
But Trump ’s campaign once hoped it could bring the Electoral College fight to other states and put Democrats on the defensive in blue strongholds out west and in the northeast. Trump launched his campaign at a rowdy arena in Orlando more than a year ago, changed his primary residence to his estate at Mar-a-Lago and recently moved the Republican National Convention, the biggest election-year event, to Jacksonville.
In a memo obtained by the Times, Biden ’s director of paid media Patrick Monsignor said the campaign is “establishing a presence in the Tampa, Orlando, and Jacksonville markets” and “in the Panhandle to get in front of white working-class voters who moved from (Barack) Obama in ’12 to Trump in ’16 as well as open a conversation with the African-American voters in the Panhandle who will be crucial to mobilize early.” Some Democrats wondered if it was worth the cost to go head-to-head with Trump in Florida when winning back Rust Belt states seemed far more economical and feasible.
Chart showing House Democrats have 222 seats and Republicans have 212 seats232Outgoing House197222DEMOCRATS212REPUBLICANS02180434 out of 435 races called In one of the two races, Democrat Raphael Warlock defeated the Republican incumbent Kelly Offer.
In the other race, Democratic candidate Jon Scoff has a narrow lead over Republican incumbent David Purdue. If Democrats win both races, they will control an evenly-divided Senate through the casting vote of incoming vice-president Kamila Harris.
The FT 2020 results page displays US presidential, Senate and House races as called by the Associated Press. Party breakdown numbers for the outgoing House of Representatives do not include five vacant seats and one Libertarian.
Historical presidential results data comes from the Federal Election Commission and Daily KOS. Reporting, data analysis, design and development by David Blood, Max Harlow, Joanna S Key, Emma Lewis, Caroline Levitt, Ændrew Rhineland, Martin State, Came Milford and Christine Zhang.