(Staff Photo By Nancy Lane/Mediates Group/Boston Herald) Whether President Trump loses re-election or one of his children vies to succeed him after four more years in the White House, political strategists say there’s a good chance a Trump runs for president again in the near future. The U.S. Constitution bars presidents from serving more than two terms, but Trump could run again if he loses in 2020.
“I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he decides to run again,” Republican strategist Mike Kennedy said. Trump ’s eldest son called out “2024 GOP hopefuls” on Twitter Thursday for their “total lack of action” on the president’s behalf as the 2020 race went down to the wire.
Rumored presidential candidates U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., and Nikki Haley, a former South Carolina governor and United Nations ambassador under Trump, swiftly rushed to the president’s defense. Even if the president steps away from the political stage, Trump is highly unlikely to leave the spotlight.
On 7 Nov, Mr Biden won the key swing state of Pennsylvania, propelling the Democrat to the White House by granting him the 270 electoral college votes needed. “If I'm advising the President and, occasionally, we have conversations I would say to him, ‘Sir, you are in a good position right now, if you come up short, to run again in four years’,” he continued.
Sen. Lindsey Graham also encouraged Mr Trump to run again to “keep his movement alive.” Cleveland became the 22nd president of the US in 1884, but was defeated in his re-election bid against Republican rival Benjamin Harrison.
LIVE UPDATES: Read our blog for the latest in US politics as the fallout from the election continues After two terms in office, that's it. But Douglas Brinkley, a professor of history at Rice University in Texas, said “one-term presidents are rare”.
Republicans outside the White House on Saturday (local time) warned that Mr Trump could tarnish his legacy if he does not eventually make a graceful exit, and erode his future political power. “It will be impossible for him to run again in 2024 if he's seen as a sore loser,” a Congressional Republican source told Reuters.
“Even in defeat, Donald Trump has exceeded expectations and helped other Republicans do the same,” said GOP (Grand Old Party aka Republican) consultant Michael Steel, who has worked on Capitol Hill and for campaigns. ARI Fleischer is a former White House press secretary who served under former president George W. Bush.
He said the Republican Party would likely be looking for someone with the blunt outspoken voice of an outsider who would at the same time refrain from going “so far that your tweets push people away that want to be for you”. A wide range of candidates are testing the waters, from moderates like Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, to Arkansas senator Tom Cotton and former Trump officials like ex-South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.
Trump Jr posted on Twitter on November 6 saying: “The total lack of action from virtually all the '2024 GOP hopefuls' is pretty amazing. He also posted an image of himself in front of a banner with the words “Don Jr 2024” on Instagram just two weeks ago.
Visit our election page for the latest news on Joe Biden's victory and the aftermath as Donald Trump refuses to concede the White House. Read more Barbara Res, a longtime Trump associate who recently wrote a book about her experience working with him, speculated the President might leave the country before Mr Biden's inauguration and perhaps pursue his own media empire.
As for the future for Republicans, GOP consultant Mr Steel said the party would likely look to leaders who combine elements of Trump's populist agenda with policies that appeal to a broader swath of the electorate. “The challenge will be identifying the popular, durable, and practical parts of his agenda and marrying them to policies and arguments that appeal to the broader electorate that the party will need to win at the national level in the future,” he said.
President Donald Trump addresses his impeachment after learning how the vote in the House was divided during a Merry Christmas Rally at the Kellogg Arena on December 18, 2019, in Battle Creek, Michigan. Scott Olson/Getty House of Representatives took the extraordinary step Wednesday evening of impeaching a president for just the third time in U.S. history. Ahead of the historic vote, members traded accusations back and forth on the House floor as the articles of impeachment were impending.
Congressman Doug Collins, the top Republican on the House Judiciary Committee, said during a preliminary hearing on Tuesday that Democrats are “trying to interfere with the 2020 election by beginning this process and moving forward.” “They're pushing this partisan impeachment because they know they can 't stop you from giving President Donald Trump four more years in the White House,” Pence said.
In other impeachment proceedings in 1936, the Senate, while ultimately rejecting disqualification, referenced the Archibald case as precedent for a simple-majority threshold that would apply to their trial. So while Trump would need a substantial number of Republican defectors to remove him from office, the Senate's own precedent suggests a simple majority could impose a more permanent penalty.
If President Donald Trump is removed by the 25th Amendment or an impeachment hearing, would he be able to run again in 2024? If the president were to be impeached and convicted, his ability to run in 2024 would depend on whether Congress decided to disqualify him or not.
In response to the dramatic visuals spreading on social media of a mob breaking into the U.S. Capitol, many have started to direct the blame towards President Trump. Multiple Democratic lawmakers, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are now calling for his immediate removal through either an impeachment hearing or the 25th Amendment.
The Verify team is looking into whether such an action would disqualify President Trump from running yet again in 2024. In this situation, Congress would decide the issue, by holding a vote, in which two-thirds of both houses are needed for the Vice President to take over.
Our legal expert told the Verify team that this means that Congress has the constitutional authority to include in the impeachment a disqualification from serving in future offices. The Verify Team looked into whether the President would be able to run in 2024, if he were to be removed by the 25th Amendment or through an impeachment hearing.
Outgoing President Donald Trump is under the most serious scrutiny of his political career over accusations he incited a mob of his supporters to attack the Capitol on January 6. After the attack, congressional Democrats are once again weighing impeachment as a way to remove Trump from office before his term ends in a few days, saying he is too dangerous to be allowed to stay in the White House.
But it's unclear if Congress can impeach a president after he leaves office, and it might not have enough time to pull this off before January 20. It's a long shot, given the dwindling number of days left in the Trump presidency and the rapidly unfolding politics of the situation.
But the Constitution allows the Senate to bar an official that lawmakers have convicted in an impeachment trial from holding federal office again. If the rare procedure was invoked, it could be the ultimate dagger in the political career of a US president like no other.
“It is a very time-consuming process,” said the former Senate historian Don Ritchie, who added that such a quick turnaround would be unprecedented and doubted the Constitution allowed the impeachment of an ex-president. Members of Congress hide behind chairs in the House chamber during a siege by a pro- Trump mob on January 6.
The first, Article II, Section 4, of the Constitution, says, “The President, Vice President and all civil officers of the United States, shall be removed from office on impeachment for, and conviction of, treason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.” At the end of the trial, the Senate votes on whether to convict the official on any or all the impeachment charges brought by the House of Representatives.
While top Republicans, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, finally broke with Trump this week after four years of placating him, it's doubtful they'd join the Democrats' efforts. Then again, congressional Republicans are more publicly enraged now at Trump than they have ever been, the side effect of being forced to go into hiding mid session as a dangerous mob broke past Capitol Police and ransacked their workplace.
Sen. Ben Sassy, a Nebraska Republican and frequent Trump critic, indicated he could join the Democrats. “The House, if they come together and have a process, I will definitely consider whatever articles they might move,” Sassy told CBS News on Friday.
But Ritchie, the former Senate historian, was skeptical that Republicans would break ranks with their party leader and vote to convict Trump. It's what made Utah Republican Sen. Mitt Romney's vote to remove Trump from office on one of the articles of impeachment last year so extraordinary.
No president has successfully been convicted and removed from office, though a handful of judges has met this fate. Here's another complicating factor: Whether Trump could still be impeached and convicted after leaving office is up for debate among constitutional-law experts.
Trump's term ends on January 20, which does not give Congress much time to pull off an impeachment and a conviction. It's an unsettled question, and like many events of the Trump presidency, a post-departure impeachment would test the bounds of constitutional law.