He is the only president to leave the White House and return for a second term four years later. But Douglas Brinkley, a professor of history at Rice University in Texas, said “one-term presidents are rare”.
Republicans outside the White House on Saturday (local time) warned that Mr Trump could tarnish his legacy if he does not eventually make a graceful exit, and erode his future political power. “It will be impossible for him to run again in 2024 if he's seen as a sore loser,” a Congressional Republican source told Reuters.
“Even in defeat, Donald Trump has exceeded expectations and helped other Republicans do the same,” said GOP (Grand Old Party aka Republican) consultant Michael Steel, who has worked on Capitol Hill and for campaigns. ARI Fleischer is a former White House press secretary who served under former president George W. Bush.
He said the Republican Party would likely be looking for someone with the blunt outspoken voice of an outsider who would at the same time refrain from going “so far that your tweets push people away that want to be for you”. A wide range of candidates are testing the waters, from moderates like Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, to Arkansas senator Tom Cotton and former Trump officials like ex-South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.
Trump Jr posted on Twitter on November 6 saying: “The total lack of action from virtually all the '2024 GOP hopefuls' is pretty amazing. He also posted an image of himself in front of a banner with the words “Don Jr 2024” on Instagram just two weeks ago.
Visit our election page for the latest news on Joe Biden's victory and the aftermath as Donald Trump refuses to concede the White House. Read more Barbara Res, a longtime Trump associate who recently wrote a book about her experience working with him, speculated the President might leave the country before Mr Biden's inauguration and perhaps pursue his own media empire.
As for the future for Republicans, GOP consultant Mr Steel said the party would likely look to leaders who combine elements of Trump's populist agenda with policies that appeal to a broader swath of the electorate. “The challenge will be identifying the popular, durable, and practical parts of his agenda and marrying them to policies and arguments that appeal to the broader electorate that the party will need to win at the national level in the future,” he said.
Donald Trump is still refusing to concede to Joe Biden, who has now been officially declared the winner of the 2020 presidential elections after the Democratic candidate finally claimed Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes following a lengthy count in the state that lasted some five days. Several of his former advisors have already said that they expect him to run again in 2024, including former acting White House chief of staff Mick Juliana, who now serves as US special envoy for Northern Ireland.
On Thursday, the former communications' director of the Trump Transition team, Bryan Lanka, also said he believes the President will make another run in four years. A member of the Madame Tussauds studios team adjusts a wax figure of Donald Trump which has been re-dressed in golf wear following the 2020 US presidential election.
“The President and his closest allies have already begun to prepare the justification for why he 'has' to run again in 2024,” wrote CNN Editor-at-large, Chris Cilia. Trump and his team are now concerned with the multiple legal challenges they have launched in several states on the back of their baseless claims of election fraud.
But once the dust finally settles on the 2020 race and those suits are tossed out as expected, Team Trump may well turn their focus to setting up his campaign to “Make America Great Again in 2024, at which point the real estate mogul will be 78 years old. President Donald Trump addresses his impeachment after learning how the vote in the House was divided during a Merry Christmas Rally at the Kellogg Arena on December 18, 2019, in Battle Creek, Michigan. Scott Olson/Getty House of Representatives took the extraordinary step Wednesday evening of impeaching a president for just the third time in U.S. history.
In 2010, the Senate convicted then-U.S. District Judge G. Thomas Portions Jr. in an impeachment related to bribery charges. In other impeachment proceedings in 1936, the Senate, while ultimately rejecting disqualification, referenced the Archibald case as precedent for a simple-majority threshold that would apply to their trial.
So while Trump would need a substantial number of Republican defectors to remove him from office, the Senate's own precedent suggests a simple majority could impose a more permanent penalty. Trump has faced investigations involving his campaign, his business and his personal behavior since he took the oath of office himself four years ago.
As soon as he becomes a private citizen, however, he will be stripped of the legal armor that has protected him from a host of pending court cases both civil and criminal. He will no longer be able to argue in court that his position as the nation's chief executive makes him immune to prosecution or protects him from turning over documents and other evidence.
While it's possible he could go to jail as a result of some investigations of his business affairs, the soon-to-be-former president is more likely to face financial punishment in the form of civil fines, law enforcement observers believe. Nearly all his legal troubles are in his hometown, New York, where he once basked in the tabloid limelight as a young mogul and where he rode a golden escalator into an unlikely political career.
While the campaign finance violation of Individual-1 isn't a federal case, New York state law says falsifying business records in furtherance of an illegal act is a felony. NBC News legal analyst Danny Cellos said he expects Vance to pick the “lowest hanging fruit” of crimes to charge, which would likely be tax evasion or falsifying business records.
Cellos said a person can be found guilty of falsifying business records in the second degree in New York “when he has the specific intent to defraud.” The office of New York Attorney General Letitia James, meanwhile, is investigating four different Trump Organization real estate projects and his failed attempt to buy the NFL's Buffalo Bills.
A few of the women have taken legal action, and in the case with the most serious potential implications, Trump enlisted the Justice Department as his attorney to prevent submitting evidence. Advice columnist E. Jean Carroll alleged in a 2019 book that more than 20 years earlier, Trump raped her in a department store dressing room.
Trump agreed to testify, but his attorneys were able to postpone his testimony pending a decision from the New York State Court of Appeals, which isn't expected until next year. E. Jean Carroll at her home in Warwick, N.Y., on June 21, 2019. Eva Each / The Washington Post/Getty ImagesLegal experts said that the president could pardon himself before leaving office but that it's unlikely that such an action would survive a challenge in court.
In a memo written by an acting assistant attorney general, the Justice Department determined that “under the fundamental rule that no one may be a judge in his own case, the President cannot pardon himself.” After he succeeded Nixon as president, Gerald Ford gave him a “full, free and absolute pardon” for any crimes he may have committed.
Tom Winter is a New York-based correspondent covering crime, courts, terrorism and financial fraud on the East Coast for the NBC News Investigative Unit. The US was the one who gave the world the term “banana republic”, meaning an unstable country where politics can be upended on whims or narrow considerations.
The incumbent president, Donald Trump, has just declared himself the winner well before the counting process was completed, with postal and early voting still being added. The US presidential election is possibly the most widely and closely watched electoral contest in the world.
A good part of that notion is attributable to the authority conferred by what is generally believed to be a free and fairly won mandate. Closer to our times George W Bush is generally believed to have won when a combination of voter fraud, deliberate miscounting and judicial intervention giving him the state of Florida by 537 votes.
That’s why the US Senate’s approval of Amy Coney Barrel as a Supreme Court Judge and tilting the balance heavily towards the conservatives 6-3 is significant. In 2016 under similar circumstances the Republican-dominated US Senate blocked the appointment of Merrick Garland, outgoing President Barack Obama’s nominee a full ten months before his term ended.
The Republican majority leader Senator Mitch McConnell then argued that the elections were close and the people should decide. Most observers believe that like Bush vs Gore, this year’s elections will also end up before the US Supreme Court over challenges by a losing President Trump, to the huge numbers of postal ballots.
Time and again he has described them as “very dangerous for our country,” “a catastrophe” and even calling 2020 “the greatest rigged election in history.” The USA has about 240 million eligible voters. Surveys have also revealed that almost 60% of Democrats preferred to vote by postal ballot, while in sharp contrast only about a quarter of Republicans did so.
The likely November 3 outcome that worries observers is this scenario: The voting boxes and machines might very likely reveal an early Trump lead, but as the postal ballots keep getting counted that lead will start whittling away. This time around hundreds of Trump lawyer operatives have fanned out and the electoral process can expect to get slowed down by the sheer weight of challenges.
Trump has been quite blatantly signalling to his troops to hobble the postal ballot counting. For instance, if a voter gives a different address, or a different version of his name such as Joe for Joseph or Richie for Richard, or if there is a variation in the signature, any one of them can become a ground for dispute.
The states are required to finalize the appointment of the 538 members of the Electoral College by December 8. The USA and even the world are accustomed to choosing the Electoral College by popular vote, but nothing in the US Constitution says it has to be that way.
China is viewed by a vast majority of Americans as a challenger, if not a danger, to the USA’s primacy in world affairs. India happens to be a frontline state against China, and the only one capable of making a decisive swing in world affairs against it.
Biden will do it for more ideological considerations and Trump more for transactional reasons, like insisting India buy more American weapons.